Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 17.083788 19.413258 22.041245 25.245069 29.071716 33.528766 39.161439
2025-08-31 13.648955 16.491458 19.967541 24.595505 30.694621 38.602582 49.878196
2025-09-07 11.796791 14.840910 18.769829 24.328893 32.189347 43.227278 60.517415
2025-09-14 10.184119 13.189521 17.223622 23.195907 32.106754 45.429378 67.960763
2025-09-21 8.918103 11.816993 15.831259 21.995761 31.610139 46.766331 74.167352
2025-09-28 8.060829 10.902507 14.949987 21.377913 31.826821 49.152114 82.593308
2025-10-05 8.214775 11.430775 16.195135 24.131422 37.830052 62.315778 114.588232
2025-10-12 7.899007 11.222025 16.289834 25.039607 40.853859 70.845679 140.379509
2025-10-19 7.275030 10.482539 15.472281 24.303966 40.792232 73.422185 153.838767
2025-10-26 7.033868 10.315037 15.548036 25.106889 43.713627 82.653700 186.893045
2025-11-02 6.607335 9.814585 15.023849 24.764267 44.329289 87.069586 209.213026
2025-11-09 6.209800 9.330374 14.482521 24.322232 44.664146 90.914977 231.627740
2025-11-16 5.865388 8.924917 14.068720 24.127772 45.612179 96.763203 264.356697
2025-11-23 5.485135 8.433641 13.465755 23.502857 45.539326 100.124417 291.091352
2025-11-30 5.197831 8.079434 13.075564 23.251900 46.263966 105.780271 329.887756
2025-12-07 4.822697 7.548875 12.323754 22.182412 44.911356 105.404587 344.885422
2025-12-14 4.470835 7.038937 11.575231 21.048642 43.249291 103.800966 354.193647
2025-12-21 4.219794 6.692785 11.108311 20.464583 42.856213 105.903693 382.141827
2025-12-28 4.380131 7.088887 12.071091 23.065533 50.993524 137.254183 588.080831
2026-01-04 4.317180 7.073646 12.236854 23.922320 54.749922 155.909869 753.540890
2026-01-11 4.090857 6.742190 11.751841 23.228353 54.066623 158.340371 814.411752
2026-01-18 4.029821 6.716528 11.878584 23.985773 57.711300 178.766342 1046.563550
2026-01-25 3.865649 6.485691 11.569743 23.662617 58.088488 186.284031 1185.610319